Hello, After reaching new record highs in recent weeks, markets plunged on worries that cheaper AI competition from China could pose risks to U.S. tech companies.1
What caused the market reaction?
Let’s dive in.
What caused the tech market crash?
Much of the market run-up over the last two years has been driven by AI mania, with U.S. companies leading the charge.
However, this narrative faced a test when DeepSeek, a Chinese tech startup, released an advanced (much cheaper) AI model.
DeepSeek claims it was able to develop its advanced model for just $6 million using fewer hard-to-find computer chips, compared to the hundreds of billions collectively invested by U.S. rivals to develop their own AI models.1
If the buzz around DeepSeek R&D numbers turns out to be more than just hype, it raises questions about the efficiency and competitiveness of U.S.-based AI firms.
Why are AI models so expensive to train?
That is the trillion-dollar question.
The rising costs of AI development have been a key focus for investors.
Capital spending on AI model development is soaring, driven by the cost of the massive computing power needed to analyze data.2
The chart below shows the estimated costs to train some of the major models released over the last few years.
One major tech CEO estimated that training advanced AI models could cost anywhere from $10 billion to $100 billion.3
In contrast, DeepSeek claims to have developed its model for a fraction of the cost by using innovative ways to process data using fewer resources.
If their approach is validated, it shows that there may be alternative paths to AI innovation that require less upfront investment.
What will this AI “space race” mean for U.S. AI companies?
While the long-term potential for AI could be massive, it’s still a very new technology with a rapidly evolving landscape and not a lot of return to show for substantial investments.4
If DeepSeek’s approach can be replicated, the disruption could benefit the sector by making it faster and cheaper to release new models.
The new pressure would also force competitors to become more efficient in their operations.
Will the tech selloff trigger a bear market?
Market adjustments like this are not unusual, particularly after periods of strong performance.
Stocks have been riding high on soaring tech firm valuations, and the pullback could be the reset the sector needs to return to Earth.
Looking ahead, we can expect more volatility as investors adjust expectations and digest new data.
Bear markets are always a risk, and it’s wise to stay flexible and be prepared for one to strike.
That said, we see plenty of growth opportunities ahead despite the short-term uncertainty.
As always, we’re watching closely and monitoring trends. We’ll reach out directly with any specific strategy changes as needed.
Have questions? Please hit “Reply” and let us know.
Sincerely,
Your Eagle Wealth Team |
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| The Big Game
Who’s ready for some field goals?
New Orleans is prepared to host Super Bowl LIX for a record 8th time at the Caesars Superdome on Sunday, February 9, 2025. This will be the 11th time the city has hosted the big game, tying Miami for the most by one city in NFL history.5
We’ve compiled some stats to get you prepared for game day:
Rematch: Patrick Mahomes will lead the Kansas City Chiefs for their third Super Bowl appearance in a row. If they win, it’ll be a record “three-peat,” which has never been done in the Super Bowl era.5 Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles are looking to redeem themselves in this rematch, having lost to the Chiefs two years ago by a mere three points. This will be the fifth Super Bowl appearance for the Eagles. They’ve only won once out of the previous four appearances (in Super Bowl LII).6
Is football trying to sell you something? A 30-second commercial during the game will again cost approximately $7 million.7 This has been the average rate for the past three years. And it’s no surprise, considering about half of the viewers enjoy the commercials more than the actual game. 8
More than a ticket: As the official ticket package provider, On Location has the lowest priced deal starting at $6,700 per person.9 The packages include not only a game ticket but also access to food and entertainment prior to kickoff. What used to be just a championship football game has grown into a full-fledged entertainment experience.
We hope you take time to enjoy your super Sunday!
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Slow Cooker Buffalo Chicken Dip
The most popular football game day snack in 29 states is Buffalo Chicken Dip.10 If you don’t already have a favorite recipe, we have one for you to try. Enjoy!
Prep Time: 10 mins Cook Time: 4 hrs Servings: 16
Ingredients 2 (8 ounce) skinless, boneless chicken breasts ½ teaspoon salt ¼ teaspoon ground black pepper ¼ teaspoon garlic powder 1 (8 ounce) package reduced-fat cream cheese (Neufchatel) 1 (8 ounce) container sour cream ½ cup Buffalo wing sauce (such as Frank's® Red Hot) ½ cup shredded sharp Cheddar cheese
Directions Season chicken breasts with salt, pepper, and garlic powder. Place in the slow cooker and cover with the lid. Cook on Low until chicken is cooked through, about 3 hours. Drain accumulated juices. Shred chicken using a hand mixer. Add cream cheese, sour cream, Buffalo wing sauce, and Cheddar cheese. Cook on Low for 1 more hour. Stir to combine.
Source: https://www.allrecipes.com/recipe/270034/slow-cooker-buffalo-chicken-dip/ |
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There’s big news out of Washington regarding the new roll out of tariffs. China’s facing a 10% tariff, while Canada’s hit with a 25% tariff. As for Mexico, the 25% tariff on their goods has been put on hold for a month after striking a deal with the Mexican president.
Read more about the U.S. tariffs here. We’d love to hear your feedback about our new Market Insights format. Feel free to reach out and let us know if you have any questions or want to dive deeper into the subject. |
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1. CNBC, 2025 [URL: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/27/how-the-buzz-around-chinese-ai-model-deepseek-sparked-a-massive-nasdaq-sell-off.html]
2. Stanford, 2024 [URL: https://aiindex.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/HAI_AI-Index-Report-2024.pdf]
3. IBD, 2024 [URL: https://www.investors.com/news/technology/ai-stocks-openai-artificial-intelligence-models-big-tech-google-meta/]
4. Goldman Sachs, 2024 [URL: https://www.goldmansachs.com/images/migrated/insights/pages/gs-research/gen-ai--too-much-spend,-too-little-benefit-/TOM_AI 2.0_ForRedaction.pdf]
5. USA Today, January 22, 2025 [URL: https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2025/01/22/super-bowl-2025-date-time-streaming-halftime/77865325007/]
6. NBC, January 27, 2025 [URL: https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com]
7. Sports Business Journal, January 13, 2025 [URL: https://www.sportsbusinessjournal.com/Articles/2025/01/13/fox-super-bowl-ad-waitlist]
8. The Nielsen Company, January 2010 [URL: https://www.nielsen.com]
9. On Location, January 29, 2025 [URL: https://onlocationexp.com/nfl/super-bowl-ticket-packages]
10. Newsweek, January 21, 2025 [URL: https://www.newsweek.com/map-super-bowl-favorite-food-coffeeness-buffalo-chicken-2018382]
Chart sources:
Stanford, 2024 [URL: https://aiindex.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/HAI_AI-Index-Report-2024.pdf]
CNN, 2025 [URL: https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/27/tech/deepseek-stocks-ai-china/index.html] Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice. The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general. U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. However, if you sell a Treasury Note prior to maturity, it may be worth more or less than the original price paid. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility. Please consult your financial professional for additional information. This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Copyright 2025 FMG Suite. |
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