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If you're an investor looking for something to worry about, you never have to go more than a few days on Wall Street.
Take a look at the chart below. It shows 11 economic reports released during 19 trading days in April. You can see there’s always something new for investors to talk about. And keep in mind this list doesn't include any speeches by Federal Reserve officials, rumblings from Washington, or the occasional "shock headline" from a market pundit.
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Keep in mind though, watching the news cycle may not be healthy for your portfolio. Some good news here and some bad news there, and you might start to rethink a well-constructed investment strategy. You may find yourself always searching for that "Goldilocks Moment" when investment conditions are “just right”.
But remember, we’re here to monitor the economy and help make your life easier, so hopefully, you don’t focus on the day-to-day ups and downs of the markets. We review economic reports to see if any longer-term trends are emerging. We also look to see if the information in one report complements or contradicts another report.
According to the World Bank, the United States has a $23 trillion economy, so it's bound to give mixed signals from time to time.
If you happen to see an economic report that is confusing, please reach out. We'll do our best to help put the report in perspective.
Until next week,
Your Eagle Wealth Team
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Baird Babies Make an Appearance at the St Patty’s Day Dash
Emily and Tyson have kept these babies close to home, but the warm weather has them venturing out. Vivienne and Cecilia were the hit of the St. Patty’s Day Dash last month. While Dad was busy helping coordinate the race, the twins helped greet the participants with Mom. They’re looking forward to more adventures in the sun.
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The Week on Wall Street
Stocks remained resilient last week amid mixed earnings reports, hawkish Fed-speak, and lingering recession fears, closing out the five trading days with small losses.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.23%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 lost 0.10%. The Nasdaq Composite index fell 0.42% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, added 0.10%.1,2,3
Stocks Hold Firm
Stocks traded most of last week around the flatline as investors grappled with several headwinds.
The first was disappointing earnings results, coupled with the absence of earnings guidance from some companies due to an uncertain economic climate. Weak economic data, including declines in housing and leading economic indicators, also weighed on investor sentiment. Finally, multiple Fed officials spoke last week, signaling that inflation remained too high and that further rate hikes may be likely.
Underneath the seemingly placid surface of the major market indices, there was substantial price action at the individual stock and sector level. Poor earnings results hit communication services stocks and regional banks, while margin pressures put pressure on auto stock valuations.
Housing Weakness
Two housing reports reflected ongoing fragility in the housing market and fed prevailing economic slowdown worries.
Sales of new homes fell 0.8% in March, dragged down by a 5.2% slide in new multi-family home construction. Sales of single-family homes were a bright spot, rising 2.7% to a three-month high, though that hopeful note was tempered by an 8.8% drop in new application permits–an indicator of future new home building.4
Existing home sales also suffered a month-over-month decline in March, falling 2.4%. Sales plummeted 22% from March 2022 levels as higher mortgage rates and tight inventories impacted affordability.5
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THE WEEK AHEAD
KEY ECONOMIC DATA
Tuesday: Consumer Confidence. New Home Sales.
Wednesday: Durable Goods Orders.
Thursday: Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Jobless Claims.
Friday: Personal Income and Outlays. Consumer Sentiment.
Source: Econoday, April 21, 2023
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.
COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS
Monday: The CocaCola Company (KO).
Tuesday: Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), General Electric Company (GE), Verizon Communications, Inc. (VZ), Visa, Inc. (V), Alphabet, Inc. (GOOGL), General Motors Company (GM), McDonald’s Corporation (MCD), Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (AMP), 3M Company (MMM), Texas Instruments, Inc. (TXN), United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP), NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE), Spotify Technology (SPOT), Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB).
Wednesday: The Boeing Company (BA), ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW), Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc. (TMO), General Dynamics Corporation (GD), eBay, Inc. (EBAY), Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC).
Thursday: Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Intel Corporation (INTC), AbbVie, Inc. (ABBV), Mastercard, Inc. (MA), Bristol Myers Squibb Company (BMY), Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), The Southern Company (SO), Eli Lilly and Company (LLY), Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC), Comcast Corporation (CMCSA).
Friday: Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM), Chevron Corporation (CVX), Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR).
Source: Zacks, April 21, 2023
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.
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Disclosures and Footnotes
Any companies mentioned are for informational purposes only, and this should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of their securities. Any investment should be consistent with your objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance.
1. The Wall Street Journal, April 21, 2023
2. The Wall Street Journal, April 21, 2023
3. The Wall Street Journal, April 21, 2023
4. YahooFinance, April 18, 2023
5. CNBC, April 20, 2023
Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.
The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.
The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.
U.S. Treasury Notes are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. However, if you sell a Treasury Note prior to maturity, it may be worth more or less than the original price paid. Fixed income investments are subject to various risks including changes in interest rates, credit quality, inflation risk, market valuations, prepayments, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors.
International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.
Please consult your financial professional for additional information.
This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Copyright 2022 FMG Suite.
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